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Forget past mistakes. Forget failures. Forget everything except what you're going to do now and do it.William Durant, founder of General Motors
Page: 1124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131
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« Thread »
Posted:
October 9, 2009 4:12 PM
Post #186498—in reply to #186483
Shiong-Fong Lew
Mother tongue: English
Joined: March 28, 2004
Location: Malaysia
 
RE: They forecast the weather with supercomputers

Originally written by John Bunch on October 10, 2009 2:18 AM Some questions I would love to ask a Democrat:

3. Obama gave up on the Eastern Europe missile defense shield (unilaterally calling the Czech premier in the middle of the night to tell him about it). What did he get from Russia in return ? Anything (!) ?

4. Was it wise to add a 35 % import duty on Chinese tires ? Who benefits from that ? .

 

I'm not affiliated with Democrats nor Republicans, but I can attempt to answer.(3) and (4).

(3) It very much pleases Jacek of TC no less, resulting in a greatly reduced barrage of wordy counterpunches. It may have set the stage for SALT III, not to mention less worries in Moscow about where to site the missiles targetting Poland and Cz as well as how not to be seen domestically to be bowing to US affront at the doorstep. In short, more peace.

(4) Making peace with the grassroot voters by distributing a few candies here and there.


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Posted:
October 9, 2009 6:10 PM
Post #186504—in reply to #186498
Jacek K.
TC Master
Mother tongue: Polish
Joined: February 18, 2003
Location: Poland
 
RE: They forecast the weather with supercomputers

Originally written by Shiong-Fong Lew on October 9, 2009 10:12 PM

In short, more peace.

How disgusting! Time to wake up and smell the coffee of the real world, Shiong-Fong!

Jacek


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Posted:
October 13, 2009 12:08 PM
Post #186752—in reply to #164457
Jacek K.
TC Master
Mother tongue: Polish
Joined: February 18, 2003
Location: Poland
 
RE: Understanding the Financial Crisis

http://www.nytimes.com/2009/10/11/us/11burial.html?_r=1&scp=1&sq=number%20of%20unclaimed%20bodies%20increases&st=cse (via Harper's Weekly Review)

Coroners and medical examiners across the [US] are reporting spikes in the number of unclaimed bodies ... “It’s not that we’re not finding families, but that the families are having a harder time coming up with funds to cover burial or cremation costs.” ...


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Posted:
October 14, 2009 9:30 AM
Post #186831—in reply to #186752
Jacek K.
TC Master
Mother tongue: Polish
Joined: February 18, 2003
Location: Poland
 
RE: Understanding the Financial Crisis

“IF you really want to know why the financial system nearly collapsed in the fall of 2008, I can tell you in one simple sentence.”

The statement came from a man sitting three or four stools away from me in a sparsely populated Midtown bar, where I was waiting for a friend. “But I have to buy you a drink to hear it?” I asked.

“Absolutely not,” he said. “I can buy my own drinks. My 401(k) is intact.

"http://www.nytimes.com/2009/10/14/opinion/14trillin.html?em

 


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Posted:
October 14, 2009 4:01 PM
Post #186852—in reply to #186831
Shiong-Fong Lew
Mother tongue: English
Joined: March 28, 2004
Location: Malaysia
 
RE: Understanding the Financial Crisis

Originally written by Jacek K. on October 14, 2009 10:30 PM

 

"http://www.nytimes.com/2009/10/14/opinion/14trillin.html?em

 when you started reading about these geniuses from M.I.T. and Caltech who instead of going to graduate school in physics went to Wall Street to calculate arbitrage odds....

... who was running the firms they worked for? Our guys! The lower third of the class! Guys who didn’t have the foggiest notion of what a credit default swap was....

 

So, the top third of the class calculates arbitrage odds and the bottom third manages the Wall Street firms. Which category staffs the supervisory authorities, and what if the top third turns to politics?

 

Taming the wild with Sarah Palin.Brainier than merely hunting for food?


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Posted:
October 15, 2009 4:00 AM
Post #186865—in reply to #186852
Jacek K.
TC Master
Mother tongue: Polish
Joined: February 18, 2003
Location: Poland
 
RE: Understanding the Financial Crisis

Originally written by Shiong-Fong Lew on October 14, 2009 10:01 PM

Originally written by Jacek K. on October 14, 2009 10:30 PM 
when you started reading about these geniuses from M.I.T. and Caltech who instead of going to graduate school in physics went to Wall Street to calculate arbitrage odds....

... who was running the firms they worked for? Our guys! The lower third of the class! Guys who didn’t have the foggiest notion of what a credit default swap was....
  


The top tier of the class is thriving (up you win, down you win):

The Dow Jones industrial average closed above the psychologically important milestone of 10,000 on Wednesday....

 while at the bottom

 
 Many Americans say that they have yet to feel the impacts of even a nascent recovery. A poll conducted last week by CBS News shows that 84 percent of Americans say the economy is in bad shape... http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=113786232

 

 

 

 



[Edited by Jacek K. on October 15, 2009 4:03 AM]

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Posted:
October 15, 2009 10:14 AM
Post #186906—in reply to #186865
Jacek K.
TC Master
Mother tongue: Polish
Joined: February 18, 2003
Location: Poland
 
RE: Understanding the Financial Crisis

And why did Dow Jones pass 10,000? Because it's time for the harvest. (No, not for you and me )

 

Exit, Pursued by a Bear

Private equity firms are trying to cash out of their investments. Uh-oh.

 

Perhaps the most compelling reason of all for investors to fret is that private equity firms are selling shares in companies they control to the public. ...

Why could a slew of such public offerings be bad news for the stock markets? After all, the billionaires behind these private equity firms are offering individual investors like you and me the opportunity to join them as shareholders of companies that have benefitted from their guidance and counsel. ...

That's exactly why we should beware. Generally speaking, private equity investors are very smart traders. Stephen Schwarzman and Henry Kravis have amassed large fortunes because they've figured out how to buy low (using lots of borrowed money) and sell high. ...

In a typical public offering of stock, a company creates shares and sells them to the public, with the cash raised going into its coffers. The public is thus dealt in on future gains. In initial public offerings [IPO] of privately held companies—especially of venture-capital and private-equity backed firms—it's more common for existing shareholders to sell big chunks of their own holdings to the public. Much of the cash raised in these IPOs doesn't go to the company to pay down debt or fund future investment. It goes into the pockets of the shareholders, who often substantially reduce their holdings by offloading their stakes on less sophisticated investors. ...

Private equity firms like to talk about creating value over the long term. But like all good investors, they're opportunistic. They jump at opportunities to acquire companies when owners are desperate, and they leap at opportunities to cash out when the public debt and stock markets are in a credulous phase. In the go-go credit years, private equity firms minted money by having companies they controlled issue bonds and use the proceeds to pay the owners a special dividend. The credit crisis put an end to that strategy. So they're back to extracting value by selling stock. And they can do so only when markets are comparatively forgiving and complacent, when investors have let down their guard. (There were very few IPOs and private equity exits in March and April, when tolerance for risk was extremely low.) If a slew of private-equity-backed cash-out IPOs find a rapturous reception in coming months, it could be a warning that investors are become as irrationally exuberant as they were when the Dow first crossed 10,000 in the spring of 1999. http://www.slate.com/id/2232428/
 
---
GLOSSARY:
To buy low (down you win): To buy when idiots like you and I are selling
To sell high (up you win): To sell when idiots like you and me are buying

 

 

 

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Posted:
October 16, 2009 6:49 AM
Post #186958—in reply to #186906
Jacek K.
TC Master
Mother tongue: Polish
Joined: February 18, 2003
Location: Poland
 
RE: Understanding the Financial Crisis

If that's true, the next bubble is already in the works: http://www.motherjones.com/kevin-drum/2009/10/burn-it-down-and-salt-earth

The Wall Street Journal reports that the good times are rolling again:

Major U.S. banks and securities firms are on pace to pay their employees about $140 billion this year — a record high that shows compensation is rebounding despite regulatory scrutiny of Wall Street's pay culture.

....Total compensation and benefits at the publicly traded firms analyzed by the Journal are on track to increase 20% from last year's $117 billion — and to top 2007's $130 billion payout. This year, employees at the companies will earn an estimated $143,400 on average, up almost $2,000 from 2007 levels.

 

I sort of feel like I've run out of things to say about this.  There's an insanity here that's almost beyond analysis.  Wall Street can spark an economic slowdown that misses destroying the planet and causing a second Great Depression only by a hair's breadth — said hair being an 11th hour emergency infusion of trillions of taxpayer dollars — and then turn around and use those trillions to return to bubble levels of profitability within a year.  And they can do it even though the rest of the economy is still suffering through the worst recession since World War II.  It's mind boggling.


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Posted:
October 16, 2009 1:40 PM
Post #187001—in reply to #186958
Jacek K.
TC Master
Mother tongue: Polish
Joined: February 18, 2003
Location: Poland
 
RE: Understanding the Financial Crisis

http://www.economist.com/daily/news/displaystory.cfm?story_id=14678300&fsrc=nwl

Take Citigroup. During the latest quarter the firm’s common shareholders suffered a loss of $3.2 billion. Some of that reflected accounting quirks: a generous interpretation of “one-offs” would suggest a small underlying profit had in fact been made, but even then the bank still only generated an annualised return on equity of 2% for its shareholders. At Bank of America (BofA) common shareholders suffered a loss of $2.2 billion, and even adjusting for one-offs they still made a loss. Yet the bank paid out a combined $13.7 billion in compensation during the same quarter. Taken together, on an annualised basis, employees received the equivalent of 27% of the core equity in the firm, whereas shareholders got a return of zero.


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Posted:
October 17, 2009 5:43 AM
Post #187032—in reply to #186958
Nanna Mercer
Expert
50002000200025
Mother tongues: English, Danish
Posts: 9029
Joined: February 12, 2005
Location: Denmark
 
RE: Understanding the Financial Crisis

Originally written by Jacek K. on October 16, 2009 12:49 PM

There's an insanity here that's almost beyond analysis.  Wall Street can spark an economic slowdown that misses destroying the planet and causing a second Great Depression only by a hair's breadth — said hair being an 11th hour emergency infusion of trillions of taxpayer dollars — and then turn around and use those trillions to return to bubble levels of profitability within a year.  And they can do it even though the rest of the economy is still suffering through the worst recession since World War II.  It's mind boggling.

You've said it better than I can. I feel a sort of 'oh...so...what's new?' a terrible form of lazy do-I-want-to know-complacency every time I read about a new money wizard and his/her financial finagling. So if you've made more than $20 million in charitable donations it's always okay to cheat and therefore a valid excuse for obtaining leniency in the courts? WHAT!

For those of you with an ounce of mind still capable of being boggled...

Wall Street wake-up call: Hedge fund boss, 5 others charged in $25M-plus insider trading case

 

By Larry Neumeister, Ap

October 16th, 2009

 

Billionaire among 6 nabbed in inside trading case

NEW YORK — One of America’s wealthiest men was among six hedge fund managers and corporate executives arrested Friday in a hedge fund insider trading case that authorities say generated more than $25 million in illegal profits and was a wake-up call for Wall Street.

Raj Rajaratnam, a portfolio manager for Galleon Group, a hedge fund with up to $7 billion in assets under management, was accused of conspiring with others to use insider information to trade securities in several publicly traded companies, including Google Inc.

U.S. Magistrate Judge Douglas F. Eaton set bail at $100 million to be secured by $20 million in collateral despite a request by prosecutors to deny bail. He also ordered Rajaratnam, who has both U.S. and Sri Lankan citizenship, to stay within 110 miles of New York City. The judge gave prosecutors until shortly after 6 p.m. to consider appealing his bail ruling.

U.S. Attorney Preet Bharara told a news conference it was the largest hedge fund case ever prosecuted and marked the first use of court-authorized wiretaps to capture conversations by suspects in an insider trading case.

He said the case should cause financial professionals considering insider trades in the future to wonder whether law enforcement is listening.

“Greed is not good,” Bharara said. “This case should be a wake-up call for Wall Street.”

Joseph Demarest Jr., the head of the New York FBI office, said it was clear that “the 20 million dollars in illicit profits come at the expense of the average public investor.”

The Securities and Exchange Commission, which brought separate civil charges, said the scheme generated more than $25 million in illegal profits.

Robert Khuzami, director of enforcement at the SEC, said the charges show Rajaratnam’s “secret of success was not genius trading strategies.”

“He is not the master of the universe. He is a master of the Rolodex,” Khuzami said.

Galleon Group LLP said in a statement it was shocked to learn of Rajaratnam’s arrest at his apartment. “We had no knowledge of the investigation before it was made public and we intend to cooperate fully with the relevant authorities,” the statement said.

The firm added that Galleon “continues to operate and is highly liquid.”

Rajaratnam, 52, was ranked No. 559 by Forbes magazine this year among the world’s wealthiest billionaires, with a $1.3 billion net worth.

According to the Federal Election Commission, he is a generous contributor to Democratic candidates and causes. The FEC said he made over $87,000 in contributions to President Barack Obama’s campaign, the Democratic National Committee and various campaigns on behalf of Hillary Rodham Clinton, U.S. Sen. Charles Schumer and New Jersey U.S. Sen. Robert Menendez in the past five years. The Center for Responsive Politics, a watchdog group, said he has given a total of $118,000 since 2004 — all but one contribution, for $5,000, to Democrats.

The Associated Press has learned that even before his arrest, Rajaratnam was under scrutiny for helping bankroll Sri Lankan militants notorious for suicide bombings.

Papers filed in U.S. District Court in Brooklyn allege that Rajaratnam worked closely with a phony charity that channeled funds to the Tamil Tiger terrorist organization. Those papers refer to him only as “Individual B.” But U.S. law enforcement and government officials familiar with the case have confirmed that the individual is Rajaratnam.

At an initial court appearance in U.S. District Court in Manhattan, Assistant U.S. Attorney Josh Klein sought detention for Rajaratnam, saying there was “a grave concern about flight risk” given Rajaratnam’s wealth and his frequent travels around the world.

His lawyer, Jim Walden, called his client a “citizen of the world,” who has made more than $20 million in charitable donations … "

http://blog.taragana.com/law/2009/10/16/wall-street-wake-up-call-hedge-fund-boss-5-others-charged-in-25m-plus-insider-trading-case-14561/

via http://www.business.dk/article/20091017/borsnyt/91017006/ (Danish)

Insiderskandale ryster Wall Street

 



[Edited by Nanna Mercer on October 17, 2009 5:48 AM]

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